Sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki geli\u015fmeyi g\u00f6steren sanayi \u00fcretim endeksinin ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lmam\u0131\u015f verilerle Aral\u0131k 2017’de bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 6,5 artarak beklentileri a\u015fmas\u0131, 2017 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine ili\u015fkin beklentileri de y\u00fckseltti.<\/p>\n

Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n son ay\u0131nda ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lmam\u0131\u015f sanayi \u00fcretim endeksi y\u00fczde 6,5, takvim etkisinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f endeks de y\u00fczde 8,7 artarak beklentilerinin \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n

Ekonomistler ise bu d\u00f6nemde sanayi \u00fcretim endeksinde y\u00fczde 4,8, takvim etkisinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f sanayi \u00fcretim endeksinde ise y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 6,4 art\u0131\u015f bekliyordu.<\/p>\n

“Y\u0131l\u0131 y\u00fczde 7 \u00fczerinde b\u00fcy\u00fcme ile kapatabiliriz”<\/strong><\/p>\n

AA Finans Analisti ve ekonomist Haluk B\u00fcr\u00fcmcek\u00e7i, sanayi \u00fcretimi art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n son \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 7,5 seviyesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fini ifade ederek, “Sanayi \u00fcretimi GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan olumlu sinyal vermeye devam etmektedir. Son \u00e7eyrekte b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin y\u00fczde 6 ve \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi durumunda ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n tamam\u0131nda GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi y\u00fczde 7 seviyesini a\u015facak” diye konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n

Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l para politikas\u0131nda g\u00f6reli s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma ile kredi ve mevduat faizlerinde y\u00fckseli\u015f g\u00f6zlense de finansal ko\u015fullar\u0131n Kredi Garanti Fonu (KGF) etkisiyle gev\u015fekli\u011fini korumas\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminleri \u00fczerindeki riskleri yukar\u0131 y\u00f6ne d\u00f6nd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc belirten B\u00fcr\u00fcmcek\u00e7i, \u015funlar\u0131 kaydetti:<\/p>\n

“\u0130malat sanayi \u00fcretimi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nc\u00fc g\u00f6sterge olan kapasite kullan\u0131m\u0131, Reel Kesim G\u00fcven Endeksi ve PMI endeksleri ise toparlanman\u0131n son \u00e7eyrekte de devam etti\u011fine i\u015faret etmi\u015fti. \u0130lk 3 \u00e7eyrekte b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin y\u00fczde 7,4’e ula\u015fmas\u0131 sonras\u0131nda, son \u00e7eyrekte daha \u00f6nce belirtti\u011fimiz aleyhteki baz etkilerine ra\u011fmen y\u00fczde 6-7 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcme kaydedilmesi olas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnden, y\u0131l\u0131 y\u00fczde 7’nin \u00fczerinde bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme ile kapatmam\u0131z olas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcnmektedir”<\/p>\n

“Bu y\u0131la ait tahminimizi y\u00fczde 4 olarak koruyoruz”<\/strong><\/p>\n

Halk Yat\u0131r\u0131m Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Direkt\u00f6r\u00fc Banu K\u0131vci Tokal\u0131 da mevsim ve takvim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f \u00fcretim endeksinin ayl\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 0,9’luk art\u0131\u015fla son 6 ayd\u0131r aral\u0131ks\u0131z y\u00fckseli\u015f trendini korudu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finde ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lmam\u0131\u015f olarak y\u00fczde 7,5 ve ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f olarak da y\u00fczde 7,8’lik y\u0131ll\u0131k art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n, \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 13,9 ve ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f olarak da y\u00fczde 10,2 artan sanayi \u00fcretiminde beklenen ivme kayb\u0131n\u0131n korkutucu boyutta olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 teyit etti\u011fini belirten Tokal\u0131, \u015funlar\u0131 kaydetti:<\/p>\n

“Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finde ekonominin b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 8’e yakla\u015fmas\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Y\u0131l\u0131n \u00f6nceki aylar\u0131na ait \u00fcretim verilerinde hafif yukar\u0131 revizyonlar do\u011frultusunda, ge\u00e7en y\u0131la ait y\u00fczde 7,5’lik b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerine rahatl\u0131kla ula\u015f\u0131labilecek. Bu y\u0131la ait b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminimizi ise y\u00fczde 4 seviyesinde koruyoruz. Bu y\u0131l\u0131n ilk ay\u0131nda da, ilk tahminlerimize g\u00f6re, ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lmam\u0131\u015f verilerde yine y\u00fczde 6 seviyesinde bir y\u0131ll\u0131k art\u0131\u015f oran\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015febilecek”.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki geli\u015fmeyi g\u00f6steren sanayi \u00fcretim endeksinin ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lmam\u0131\u015f verilerle Aral\u0131k 2017’de bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 6,5 artarak…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":14873,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4595],"tags":[1722,67,1973,231],"yoast_head":"\n