Goldman Sachs Group Inc. ve Deutsche Bank AG\u2019ye g\u00f6re, T\u00fcrkiye muhtemelen ilk beklenenden daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bir ekonomik daralma ya\u015fayacak.<\/p>\n

Goldman Sachs, kredilerdeki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin canland\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 talebe i\u015faret ederek T\u00fcrk ekonomisi i\u00e7in 2020 y\u0131l\u0131 daralma tahminini hafifletti.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin GSYH\u2019s\u0131n\u0131n 2020 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 5 daralaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki tahminini y\u00fczde 3,5 seviyesine revize eden Goldman Sachs, \u201cKredilerde art\u0131\u015f\u0131n bir sonucu olarak daha s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir daralma olacak\u201d ifadelerini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n

Ancak Goldman Sachs ekonomistleri T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin 2020\u2019de GSYH\u2019n\u0131n y\u00fczde 4\u2019\u00fc kadar cari i\u015flemler a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 verece\u011fi tahmininde bulundu.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Cari i\u015flemler a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131ndaki bu art\u0131\u015fa yan\u0131t olarak T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin politika faizini y\u0131l sonunda y\u00fczde 12 seviyesine \u00e7\u0131karabilece\u011fine i\u015faret eden Goldman Sachs, 2021 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131 sonunda faizin y\u00fczde 14 olabilece\u011fini de vurgulad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Banka\u00a0daha \u00f6nce yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 tahminlerde 2020 y\u0131l sonu\u00a0faiz\u00a0oran\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 10, 2021 sonu\u00a0faiz\u00a0beklentisini de y\u00fczde 14 olarak ifade etmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n

Hazine ve Maliye Bakan\u0131 Berat Albayrak, yeni bir koronavir\u00fcs dalgas\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fmazsa T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki y\u0131l y\u00fczde 5\u2019in \u00fczerinde bir ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirece\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klam\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Goldman ekonomistlerinden Kevin Daly ile Clemens Grafe, m\u00fc\u015fterilerine g\u00f6nderdikleri raporda, \u201cT\u00fcrkiye Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n, d\u00f6viz rezervleriyle ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 olarak piyasalara m\u00fcdahalesinin de azalmas\u0131yla birlikte bizce ithalat\u0131 azaltmak, \u00fclkeye para giri\u015fini te\u015fvik etmek ve dolarizasyonu \u00f6nlemek i\u00e7in para politikas\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekecek.\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n

Deutsche Bank uzmanlar\u0131 da g\u00f6nderdikleri raporda, T\u00fcrk ekonomisi i\u00e7in \u201crisklerin halen y\u00fcksek oldu\u011funu\u201d ifade etti ve \u201cKrizden en \u00e7ok etkilenmi\u015f olan sekt\u00f6rlerin, yani, turizm, restoranlar ve \u00fcretimin kriz \u00f6nceki seviyelere d\u00f6nmesi ciddi bir zaman dilimi alacakt\u0131r.\u201d diye belirtti.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. ve Deutsche Bank AG\u2019ye g\u00f6re, T\u00fcrkiye muhtemelen ilk beklenenden daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bir ekonomik daralma ya\u015fayacak. Goldman…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":34281,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4595],"tags":[4062,4216,67,231],"yoast_head":"\n