Covid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131n\u0131n k\u00fcresel ekonomiyi sert \u015fekilde darbe indirdi\u011fi 2020’de, \u00c7in ve\u00a0T\u00fcrkiye<\/strong>\u00a0hari\u00e7 di\u011fer t\u00fcm b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomiler k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme ya\u015fad\u0131. Ancak\u00a0T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi<\/strong>\u00a0beklentilerin aksine g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi y\u00fczde 1,8’lik b\u00fcy\u00fcme performans\u0131yla dikkati \u00e7ekti. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l \u00c7in ile birlikte b\u00fcy\u00fcme kaydeden say\u0131l\u0131 \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda yer alan T\u00fcrkiye, ekonomi y\u00f6netiminin att\u0131\u011f\u0131 tedbir ad\u0131mlar\u0131 ve a\u015f\u0131lamayla h\u0131zl\u0131 toparlanma beklentileriyle bu y\u0131la ili\u015fkin\u00a0b\u00fcy\u00fcme<\/strong> tahminlerinin de revize edilmesini sa\u011flad\u0131. Bununla birlikte d\u00fcnyaca \u00fcnl\u00fc bir\u00e7ok ekonomi kurulu\u015flar\u0131<\/strong> T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin devam edece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fcnde bulundu. Uluslararas\u0131 ekonomi ve finans\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen kurulu\u015flar\u0131 T\u00fcrk ekonomisine ili\u015fkin tahminlerinde art arda revizyona gitti. Ekonomistler, Covid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131nda t\u00fcm d\u00fcnyada g\u00f6r\u00fclen yeni dalga ve vaka art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 tedirginli\u011fe sebep olurken a\u015f\u0131lama \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131n 2021 y\u0131l\u0131na daha pozitif bakmay\u0131 sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti<\/p>\n Ekonomistlere g\u00f6re T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ilk \u00e7eyrekte ihracat\u0131n\u0131n 2020\u2019nin ilk \u00e7eyre\u011fine g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 17,3 art\u0131\u015fla 50 milyar 23 milyon dolar olarak \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin ivmelenece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Bir\u00e7ok kurulu\u015f da bu y\u00f6nde tahminlerini y\u00fckseltti. T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin 2020’nin son \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fczde 5,9’luk b\u00fcy\u00fcme<\/strong>\u00a0performans\u0131n\u0131n\u00a0ard\u0131ndan ilk revizyon Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu’ndan (IMF) geldi. Daha \u00f6nce T\u00fcrk ekonomisinin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 5 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fcnde bulunan IMF, bu tahminini ocak ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 6’ya \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131<\/p>\n IMF<\/strong>\u00a0ile ba\u015flayan b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminindeki y\u00fckseltmeler, Moody’s, Fitch, Standard&Poor’s (S&P), Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler Ticaret ve Kalk\u0131nma Konferans\u0131 (UNCTAD), Ekonomik \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi ve Kalk\u0131nma \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc’n\u00fcn (OECD) ve D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131 gibi ekonominin \u00f6nde gelen kurulu\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcncellemeleriyle devam etti.<\/p>\n Uluslararas\u0131 kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015flar\u0131ndan\u00a0Moody’s<\/strong>, T\u00fcrkiye’nin bu y\u0131la ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminin \u015fubat ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 3,5’ten 4’e \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131rken, 2022 y\u0131l\u0131na ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc y\u00fczde 4’ten 5’e y\u00fckseltti.<\/p>\n Moody’s gibi T\u00fcrk ekonomisine ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini olumlu y\u00f6nde g\u00fcncelleyen kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015flar\u0131ndan bir di\u011feri Fitch oldu.<\/p>\n Fitch<\/strong>, T\u00fcrkiye’ye ili\u015fkin 2021 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini y\u00fczde 3,5’ten 6,7’ye, 2022 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini ise y\u00fczde 4,5’ten 4,7’ye y\u00fckseltti. Fitch, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc parasal destek ve kredilerin, 2020 y\u0131l\u0131nda T\u00fcrk ekonomisinin direncini destekledi\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n OECD<\/strong>, ekonomik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcme ili\u015fkin mart ay\u0131nda yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ara raporda, T\u00fcrk ekonomisine y\u00f6nelik b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisini y\u00fczde 2,9\u2019dan 5,9’a \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131 ve daha \u00f6nce 2022’de y\u00fczde 3,2 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fini tahmin etti\u011fi T\u00fcrk ekonomisinin gelecek y\u0131la ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisini y\u00fczde 3 olarak belirledi.<\/p>\n S&P<\/strong>\u00a0ise T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisine ili\u015fkin 2021 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini y\u00fczde 4,5’ten 3,6’ya \u00e7ekerken, ekonominin 2022’de y\u00fczde 3,5 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n UNCTAD<\/strong>\u00a0da mart ay\u0131nda yay\u0131mlanan k\u00fcresel ticaret ve kalk\u0131nman\u0131n gidi\u015fat\u0131na ili\u015fkin raporunda, T\u00fcrkiye’ye ili\u015fkin 2021 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisini y\u00fczde 2,4’ten 4’e \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. UNCTAD, \u00fclke ekonomisine ili\u015fkin 2022 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini ise y\u00fczde 4’te b\u0131rakt\u0131.<\/p>\n Son olarak D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131, ekonomiye y\u00f6nelik tahminlerinde revizyona giderek 2021 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini y\u00fczde 4,5’ten 5’e \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131.<\/p>\n D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131<\/strong>, ocak ay\u0131nda yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 K\u00fcresel Ekonomik Beklentiler Raporu’nda, 2021 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisini y\u00fczde 5’ten 4,5’e \u00e7ekmi\u015fti. B\u00f6ylece D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131, 2021 beklentisini tekrar y\u00fczde 5’e \u00e7\u0131karm\u0131\u015f oldu.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi b\u00fcy\u00fcyor Covid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131n\u0131n k\u00fcresel ekonomiyi sert \u015fekilde darbe indirdi\u011fi 2020’de, \u00c7in ve\u00a0T\u00fcrkiye\u00a0hari\u00e7 di\u011fer t\u00fcm b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomiler k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme ya\u015fad\u0131….<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":48515,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4595],"tags":[239,4747,231],"yoast_head":"\nEkonomi kurulu\u015flar\u0131 tahminini y\u00fckseltti<\/h2>\n