{"id":49661,"date":"2021-06-18T11:47:05","date_gmt":"2021-06-18T08:47:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/yekvucut.com\/?p=49661"},"modified":"2021-06-18T11:47:05","modified_gmt":"2021-06-18T08:47:05","slug":"asilama-orani-artan-turkiye-icin-buyume-tahminleri-de-artti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/yekvucut.com\/ekonomi-gercekleri\/asilama-orani-artan-turkiye-icin-buyume-tahminleri-de-artti\/","title":{"rendered":"A\u015f\u0131lama oran\u0131 artan T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminleri de artt\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"

A\u015f\u0131lama oran\u0131 art\u0131\u015f\u0131 kilit \u00f6nemdeydi<\/h1>\n
A\u015f\u0131lama oran\u0131<\/strong> T\u00fcrkiye’de her ge\u00e7en g\u00fcn daha da y\u00fckseliyor. G\u00fcnl\u00fck 1 milyon doz a\u015f\u0131 yap\u0131larak d\u00fcnya rekoru k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131. ABD’nin en b\u00fcy\u00fck bankas\u0131 JP Morgan<\/strong> taraf\u0131ndan haz\u0131rlanan daha \u00f6nceki rapora g\u00f6re, T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in 2021 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme<\/strong> beklentisi y\u00fczde 4,8’den y\u00fczde 6,1’e \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Raporda, “T\u00fcrkiye’de ilk \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi \u00f6zel t\u00fcketimin ivme kazanmas\u0131 ile yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nde s\u00fcrpriz yapt\u0131” ifadelerine yer verilmi\u015fti. JP Morgan, T\u00fcrkiye’de b\u00fcy\u00fcme a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan a\u015f\u0131lama oran\u0131 art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ve turizm performans\u0131n\u0131n kilit \u00f6nemde olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtmi\u015f, erken bir gev\u015fetme ad\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n TCMB’nin kredibilitesine zarar verebilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulunmu\u015ftu. Zaman zaman k\u0131smi kapanma karar\u0131 alan T\u00fcrkiye ekonominin \u00e7arklar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrekli aktif tuttu. T\u00fcrkiye<\/strong> \u0130statistik Kurumu (T\u00dc\u0130K) birinci \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcme verisini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Buna g\u00f6re T\u00fcrkiye, 2021 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n birinci \u00e7eyre\u011finde beklentilerin \u00fczerinde y\u00fczde 7 b\u00fcy\u00fcme kaydetti. Ekonomistlerin beklentisi y\u00fczde 6.6 b\u00fcy\u00fcme ger\u00e7ekle\u015fece\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeydi.<\/p>\n

A\u015f\u0131lama oran\u0131 art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ile JP Morgan beklentiyi y\u00fckseltti<\/h2>\n
JP Morgan, yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir ara\u015ft\u0131rma raporunda a\u015f\u0131lama oran\u0131<\/strong> art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ile birlikte T\u00fcrkiye<\/strong> i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcme<\/strong> tahminini yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc g\u00fcncelledi. D\u00fcnya genelinde koronavir\u00fcs salg\u0131n\u0131 ile birlikte ekonomik sars\u0131nt\u0131 ya\u015fand\u0131. Kredi b\u00fcy\u00fcmesindeki yava\u015flama ve y\u00fcksek faiz oranlar\u0131na ra\u011fmen artan a\u015f\u0131lama h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcncellemede etkili oldu\u011funu belirten JP Morgan ekonomistleri, T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in 2021 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmininlerini y\u00fczde 6,1\u2019den 6,8\u2019e y\u00fckseltti. G\u00fcncellemenin b\u00fcy\u00fck oranda kuvvetli i\u00e7 talebi g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcnde bulundurarak yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirten JP Morgan<\/strong>, s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131 i\u00e7in ihtiyac\u0131n artarak devam etti\u011fini de belirtti.<\/p>\n
Banka, T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (TCMB) faiz karar\u0131n\u0131n beklentileriyle uyumlu bir \u015fekilde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fini ve ileti\u015fimde de bir de\u011fi\u015fiklik olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtirken\u00a0kendi tahminleri do\u011frultusunda enflasyondaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn 2021 Kas\u0131m ay\u0131 gibi ger\u00e7ekle\u015fece\u011fini de belirtti. Ayr\u0131ca ABD’li banka JP Morgan, bu durumun\u00a0TCMB\u2019nin faizleri y\u0131l sonuna kadar sabit tutaca\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret etti\u011fini ekledi.<\/p>\n
“TCMB’nin tutumu umut verici”<\/h3>\n
TCMB\u2019nin \u015fahin tutumunun umut verici oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yleyen\u00a0JP Morgan, Nisan ve May\u0131s ay\u0131nda\u00a0beklentilerin\u00a0alt\u0131nda\u00a0gelen enflasyonun ge\u00e7ici oldu\u011funu ve enflasyonu etkileyen temel fakt\u00f6rlerin s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc vurgulad\u0131.<\/p>\n
\u0130lk faiz indiriminin 100 baz puan ile Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesini beklediklerini s\u00f6ylereken tedbirin elden b\u0131rak\u0131lmamas\u0131n\u0131n do\u011fru oldu\u011funu ve\u00a0erken bir gev\u015femenin halihaz\u0131rda zay\u0131f olan politika kredibilitesine zarar verebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
A\u015f\u0131lama oran\u0131 art\u0131\u015f\u0131 kilit \u00f6nemdeydi A\u015f\u0131lama oran\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye’de her ge\u00e7en g\u00fcn daha da y\u00fckseliyor. G\u00fcnl\u00fck 1 milyon doz a\u015f\u0131 yap\u0131larak…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":49664,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4595],"tags":[4827,1128,3017],"yoast_head":"\nA\u015f\u0131lama oran\u0131 artan T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminleri de artt\u0131 | Yekvucut<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"JP Morgan, T\u00fcrkiye'de b\u00fcy\u00fcme a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan a\u015f\u0131lama oran\u0131 art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ve turizm performans\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nemli olaca\u011f\u0131, erken bir gev\u015fetme ad\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n tehlikeli olabilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulunmu\u015ftu.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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