Unicredit T\u00fcrkiye b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini y\u00fckseltti<\/h1>\n

\u0130talya merkezli 28 \u00fclkede m\u00fc\u015fterisi bulunan Unicredit<\/strong>\u00a0bankas\u0131, T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in\u00a0b\u00fcy\u00fcme<\/strong> tahminlerini y\u00fckseltti. Unicredit ekonomistleri, yay\u0131mlad\u0131klar\u0131 bir ara\u015ft\u0131rma raporunda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin 2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 7,5 b\u00fcy\u00fcyerek\u00a0Do\u011fu ve Orta Avrupa\u2019da<\/strong> en h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcyen \u00fclke olmas\u0131n\u0131 beklediklerini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131lar. Bankan\u0131n \u00f6nceki tahmini T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin 2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 4,7 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeydi. Finansal ko\u015fullar s\u0131k\u0131 kalmaya devam ederse 2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin y\u00fczde 3,5 civar\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fme ihtimali mevcut. Unicredit ekonomistleri, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin 2020\u2019nin ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda salg\u0131n \u00f6ncesi seviyelere d\u00f6nmeyi ba\u015fard\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

Unicredit ekonomistleri, yak\u0131t ve enerji hari\u00e7 d\u00f6ng\u00fcsel enflasyonun T\u00fcrkiye ve Rusya\u2019da zirveye ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti. Ek olarak ge\u00e7irgenli\u011fiyle beraber kurdaki de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131n etkisinin hala s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc belirtildi. Ayn\u0131 zamanda, 2021\u2019in d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011fine kadar faiz indirimi olmas\u0131 beklenmiyor ayr\u0131ca son \u00e7eyrekte 250 baz puanl\u0131k bir indirimle faizlerin y\u00fczde 16,5\u2019e indirilmesini, 2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda ise 300 baz puanl\u0131k bir indirimle y\u00fczde 13,5\u2019e \u00e7ekilmesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

JP Morgan a\u015f\u0131lamayla b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini art\u0131rd\u0131<\/h2>\n

ABD merkezli JP Morgan, yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 raporda T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc g\u00fcncelledi\u011fini belirtti. Bankan\u0131n ekonomistleri, T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in 2021 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerini y\u00fczde 6,1\u2019den 6,8\u2019e revize ettiklerini ifade etti.<\/p>\n

S&P de b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini y\u00fckseltmi\u015fti<\/h3>\n

Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz g\u00fcnlerde\u00a0uluslararas\u0131 kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu\u00a0S&P<\/strong>, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin 2021 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in\u00a0b\u00fcy\u00fcme<\/strong> tahminini y\u00fczde 3,6 \u2018dan y\u00fczde 6,1\u2019e y\u00fckseltti. Kurum, Geli\u015fen piyasalar i\u00e7in 2021 ortalama b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini y\u00fczde 3,7\u2019den y\u00fczde 4,1\u2019e revize etti. Bu yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revizyonun beklenenden iyi gelen ilk \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcme verilerinden kaynakland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin 2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 3,3 ve 2023 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 3,1 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini bekliyor. 2020 y\u0131l\u0131nda da y\u00fczde 13,2 olan i\u015fsizli\u011fin ise 2023 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 11,2\u2019ye inmesini bekliyor.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye b\u00fcy\u00fcmede yeni rekor k\u0131racak<\/h3>\n

T\u00fcrkiye salg\u0131n d\u00f6nemine ra\u011fmen\u00a0yeni rekor<\/strong> veriler a\u00e7\u0131klayan nadir \u00fclkelerden biri oldu. Reel kesim g\u00fcven endeksi verisi, kapasite kullan\u0131m oran\u0131, nisan ay\u0131 sanayi \u00fcretim verisi… 2021’in 2’nci \u00e7eyre\u011finde GSYH<\/strong>\u00a0b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin Cumhuriyet tarihinin en y\u00fcksek art\u0131\u015f oranlar\u0131ndan birisine i\u015faret ediyor. Sabah gazetesi yazarlar\u0131ndan ekonomist\u00a0Kerem Alkin<\/a>\u00a0\u015fimdiden bu oran\u0131n\u00a0y\u00fczde 28 ile 30 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda<\/strong> olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bekledi\u011fini belirtiyor. Ek olarak bununla birlikte, \u00f6nde gelen geli\u015fmi\u015f ve geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelere bakal\u0131m.\u00a0 Belirli bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde \u00fcretim ve ihracat h\u00e2l\u00e2 toparlamakta zorluk \u00e7ekiyor. T\u00fcrkiye’nin ortaya koydu\u011fu ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 performans uluslararas\u0131 ekonomi<\/strong>\u00a0\u00e7evreleri taraf\u0131ndan dikkatle takip ediliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Unicredit T\u00fcrkiye b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini y\u00fckseltti \u0130talya merkezli 28 \u00fclkede m\u00fc\u015fterisi bulunan Unicredit\u00a0bankas\u0131, T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in\u00a0b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerini y\u00fckseltti. Unicredit ekonomistleri, yay\u0131mlad\u0131klar\u0131 bir…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":49863,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4595],"tags":[1128,231,4856],"yoast_head":"\n