K\u00fcresel salg\u0131nda bor\u00e7 krizi<\/h1>\n

K\u00fcresel<\/strong>\u00a0Covid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131 hen\u00fcz tamamen \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmedi ancak\u00a0k\u00fcresel ekonomik<\/strong>\u00a0belirsizliklerin etkisi artarak devam ediyor. D\u00fcnya ekonomisini hayli zor bir m\u00fccadele bekliyor.\u00a0Sabah Gazetesi<\/a>\u00a0yazar\u0131 Kerem Alkin bu durumun ad\u0131na \u201ck\u00fcresel bor\u00e7 sarmal\u0131<\/strong>\u201d diyor. 2021 y\u0131l\u0131 sonu itibariyle 300 trilyon dolara, yani k\u00fcresel GSYH’n\u0131n y\u00fczde 365’ine ula\u015fmas\u0131 bekleniyor. D\u00fcnya n\u00fcfusunun y\u00fczde 13’\u00fcn\u00fc temsil eden en az geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkeler grubu, d\u00fcnyadaki en yoksul n\u00fcfusun da y\u00fczde 38’ini b\u00fcnyesinde bar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131yor. Ne yaz\u0131k ki,\u00a0k\u00fcresel salg\u0131n<\/strong>\u00a0patlak verdi\u011finden bu yana zaten 280 milyon \u00e7ok yoksul insan ya\u015fam m\u00fccadelesi veriyor. S\u00f6z konusu 48 en\u00a0az geli\u015fmi\u015f<\/strong>\u00a0\u00fclkede, ayda 500 TL gelir bile elde edemeyen \u00e7ok yoksul say\u0131s\u0131 35 milyon ki\u015fi daha artt\u0131. Bu nedenle, bu \u00fclkelerin mevcut bor\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6deme kabiliyetini t\u00fcm\u00fcyle yitirmeleriyle, k\u00fcresel bir moratoryum ilan edilmesi ve s\u00f6z konusu \u00fclkelerin bor\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n yeniden yap\u0131land\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131; bu ad\u0131m at\u0131l\u0131rken s\u00f6z konusu \u00fclkelerin bor\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n anlaml\u0131 bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn silinmesi g\u00fcndeme gelebilir.<\/p>\n

2020’nin ba\u015f\u0131nda,\u00a0k\u00fcresel salg\u0131n<\/strong>\u00a0patlad\u0131\u011f\u0131nda 260 trilyon dolar olan k\u00fcresel bor\u00e7 b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc, 2021’in sonbahar\u0131 itibariyle \u00e7oktan 290 trilyon dolara dayanm\u0131\u015f durumda. 2017’de 242 trilyon dolar olan k\u00fcresel bor\u00e7, 3 trilyon dolar art\u0131\u015fla, 2018’de 245 trilyon dolar ula\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. 2019’da ise 257 trilyon dolara. 2020’de k\u00fcresel salg\u0131n patlad\u0131ktan sonra, 2020 sonu itibariyle 281 trilyon dolara s\u0131\u00e7ram\u0131\u015f olan k\u00fcresel bor\u00e7, 2020’nin ilk \u00e7eyre\u011fi sonunda 259,7 trilyon dolard\u0131. 2021’in ilk \u00e7eyre\u011fi sonunda ise, bir y\u0131lda neredeyse 30 trilyon dolara artarak 288,7 trilyon dolara ula\u015ft\u0131. bu 30 trilyon dolarl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131n kabaca 5 trilyon dolar\u0131 hane halk\u0131ndan, 8 trilyon dolar\u0131 reel sekt\u00f6rden, 3 trilyon dolar\u0131 finans sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnden gelirken, ba\u015f\u0131 \u00e7eken geli\u015fmi\u015f ekonomilerin bor\u00e7lanmas\u0131yla, kabaca 14 trilyon dolarl\u0131k bor\u00e7 art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ‘kamu’ taraf\u0131nda g\u00f6zlemlendi.<\/p>\n

B\u00fct\u00e7e gelir a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 3 trilyon dolar\u0131 a\u015facak<\/h3>\n

2019’dan 2021 mart ay\u0131 sonuna kadar, Yunanistan’\u0131n toplam borcunun GSYH’ya oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 65 daha artm\u0131\u015fken, Singapur’un y\u00fczde 60, \u0130spanya’n\u0131n y\u00fczde 57, Kanada ve Fransa’n\u0131n y\u00fczde 54, G\u00fcney K\u0131br\u0131s Rum Y\u00f6netimi’nin y\u00fczde 50, \u0130talya, Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k ve Japonya’n\u0131n y\u00fczde 40, ABD’nin y\u00fczde 37 artm\u0131\u015f durumda. Yani, 2019 sonunda ABD’nin toplam bor\u00e7\/GSYH oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 108,19 iken, 2021 ilk \u00e7eyrek sonunda y\u00fczde 127,65’e ula\u015fm\u0131\u015f durumda. ABD Kongresi B\u00fct\u00e7e Ofisi’nin (CBO) son raporu, 2021 y\u0131l\u0131 sonunda 6,8 trilyon dolara ula\u015facak federal b\u00fct\u00e7e harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n finansman\u0131na federal b\u00fct\u00e7e gelirlerinin yetmemesi nedeniyle, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131’nca finanse edilecek b\u00fct\u00e7e gelir a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n 3 trilyon dolar\u0131 a\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

K\u00fcresel bor\u00e7 sarmal\u0131<\/strong>\u00a0t\u00fcm uluslararas\u0131 ekonomik kurulu\u015flar\u0131, merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131 kara kara d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcr\u00fcrken, 2019’da olan T\u00fcrkiye’nin AB tan\u0131ml\u0131 kamu borcunun GSYH’ya oran\u013132,5 iken, 2020’de y\u00fczde 39’a y\u00fckseldikten sonra, 2021’de y\u00fczde 36,6’ya gerilemesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Art\u0131\u015f oran\u0131 sadece y\u00fczde 11,2.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

K\u00fcresel salg\u0131nda bor\u00e7 krizi K\u00fcresel\u00a0Covid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131 hen\u00fcz tamamen \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmedi ancak\u00a0k\u00fcresel ekonomik\u00a0belirsizliklerin etkisi artarak devam ediyor. D\u00fcnya ekonomisini hayli zor bir…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":50835,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4594],"tags":[4962,4963],"yoast_head":"\n