OECD<\/strong>, T\u00fcrkiye’nin 2021 ve 2022 y\u0131llar\u0131 i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcme, enflasyon ve \u00e7ekirdek enflasyon tahminlerinde revizyona gitti. Daha \u00f6nce de JP Mogan, Fitch Ratings gibi uluslararas\u0131 kurulu\u015flar T\u00fcrkiye\u00a0b\u00fcy\u00fcme<\/strong>\u00a0tahminlerini y\u00fckseltmi\u015fti. OECD yeni yay\u0131nlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 “Ara D\u00f6nem Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm” raporunda\u00a0T\u00fcrkiye<\/strong> i\u00e7in 2021 y\u0131l\u0131 GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini May\u0131s ay\u0131ndaki raporunda yer alan tahmine g\u00f6re y\u00fckseltti. Ancak 2022 i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc. OECD, T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in 2021 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini y\u00fczde 5,7’den y\u00fczde 8,4’e \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. Bunun yan\u0131nda 2022 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisini y\u00fczde 3,4’ten y\u00fczde 3,1’e indirdi.<\/p>\n Raporda k\u00fcresel ekonomi i\u00e7in 2021 y\u0131l\u0131\u00a0b\u00fcy\u00fcme<\/strong> tahmini ise y\u00fczde 5,8’den y\u00fczde 5,7’ye indirdi ve 2022 beklentisini 0,1 puan art\u0131rarak y\u00fczde 4,5’e revize etti. Ayn\u0131 zamanda OECD, G20 i\u00e7in 2021 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini y\u00fczde 6,3’ten y\u00fczde 6,1’e d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc. 2022 beklentisini ise y\u00fczde 4,7’den y\u00fczde 4,8’e \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131.<\/p>\n OECD, Almanya i\u00e7in 2021 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini y\u00fczde 3,3’ten y\u00fczde 2,9’a d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc. Ancak Euro B\u00f6lgesi’nin tamam\u0131 i\u00e7in 2021 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini y\u00fczde 4,3’ten 5,3’e \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. 2022 i\u00e7in tahminini de y\u00fczde 4,4’ten y\u00fczde 4,6’ya revize etti. OECD, ABD i\u00e7in 2021 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini 0,9 puan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrerek y\u00fczde 6.0’a indirdi. 2022 beklentisini y\u00fczde 3,6’dan y\u00fczde 3,9’a y\u00fckseltti. Kurum, \u00c7in i\u00e7in 2021 ve 2022 GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerini y\u00fczde 8,5 ve 5,8 olarak korudu.<\/p>\n Yay\u0131nlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 raporda man\u015fet enflasyon ve \u00e7ekirdek enflasyon tahminlerine de yer veren OECD,\u00a0T\u00fcrkiye<\/strong> 2021 man\u015fet enflasyon beklentisini y\u00fczde 16’dan y\u00fczde 17,8’e \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. 2022 beklentisini de y\u00fczde 12,8’den y\u00fczde 15,7’ye y\u00fckseltti. G\u0131da ve enerji hari\u00e7 t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131 tahmini bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 16,3’ten y\u00fczde 17,3’e art\u0131rd\u0131. Gelecek y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 12,8’den y\u00fczde 15,6’ya y\u00fckseltti. OECD, G20 i\u00e7in 2021 man\u015fet enflasyon tahminin y\u00fczde 3,5’ten y\u00fczde 3,7’ye y\u00fckseltti. ABD i\u00e7in enflasyon beklentisini 0,7 puan y\u00fckselterek y\u00fczde 3,6 olarak tahmin etti. Euro B\u00f6lgesi i\u00e7in tahminini de 0,3 puan art\u0131rarak y\u00fczde 2,1’e \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131.<\/p>\n 2022 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in ABD enflasyon tahminini y\u00fczde 2,6’dan 3,1’e y\u00fckseltti. Euro B\u00f6lgesi i\u00e7in 2022 enflasyon tahminin 0,7 puan art\u0131rarak y\u00fczde 1,9 olarak duyurdu.<\/p>\n T\u00fcrkiye’deki ekonomik toparlanman\u0131n devam etti\u011fine dikkat \u00e7ekilen raporda, bu y\u0131l neredeyse son 10 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi<\/strong>nin ya\u015fanmas\u0131n\u0131n muhtemel oldu\u011fu da belirtildi.\u00a0Raporda, T\u00fcrkiye’nin bu y\u0131la ili\u015fkin\u00a0b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini<\/strong>\u00a0y\u00fczde 9,2’ye \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131. Fitch, 13 A\u011fustos’taki T\u00fcrkiye de\u011ferlendirmesinde \u00fclke ekonomisine ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini y\u00fczde 6,3’ten y\u00fczde 7,9’a y\u00fckseltmi\u015fti.\u00a0Fitch<\/strong>\u00a0Ratings<\/strong>\u00a0raporunda y\u00fcksek frekansl\u0131 verilerin ekonomik ivmenin bu y\u0131l\u0131n 2’nci yar\u0131s\u0131na kadar devam etti\u011fi belirtildi. T\u00fcrkiye’deki ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin 2022’de y\u00fczde 3,5’e gerilemesinin ard\u0131ndan 2023’te y\u00fczde 4,5’e \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n Rapora g\u00f6re T\u00fcrkiye’de,\u00a0mevcut g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcme oranlar\u0131na y\u00fckselen enflasyonun e\u015flik ediyor. Enflasyon\u00a0yava\u015flayacak ancak 2023’e kadar \u00e7ift hanede kalacak gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.\u00a0Fitch’in raporunda,\u00a0T\u00fcrkiye<\/strong>\u00a0i\u00e7in y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyon tahminleri 2021’de y\u00fczde 17,2, 2022’de y\u00fczde 13,4 ve 2023’de y\u00fczde 10,5 olarak belirlendi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" OECD tahminlerinde revizyona gitti OECD, T\u00fcrkiye’nin 2021 ve 2022 y\u0131llar\u0131 i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcme, enflasyon ve \u00e7ekirdek enflasyon tahminlerinde revizyona gitti. Daha…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":51033,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4595],"tags":[1128,1665,231],"yoast_head":"\nOECD k\u00fcresel ekonomi tahminlerini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc<\/h2>\n
T\u00fcrkiye’de 10 y\u0131l\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi<\/h3>\n