Avrupa ve\u00a0Orta Asya\u00a0(ECA) B\u00f6lgesi’ne y\u00f6nelik haz\u0131rlanan\u00a0Ekonomik G\u00fcncelleme Raporu’nun son say\u0131s\u0131 D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131<\/strong> taraf\u0131ndan yay\u0131mland\u0131.\u00a0Buna g\u00f6re, b\u00f6lge ekonomisine ili\u015fkin\u00a0b\u00fcy\u00fcme\u00a0beklentisi<\/strong> 2021 i\u00e7in 1,6 puan art\u0131r\u0131larak y\u00fczde 5,5’e y\u00fckseltilirken, 2022 i\u00e7in 0,5 puan azalt\u0131larak y\u00fczde 3,4’e \u00e7ekildi.\u00a0Banka, haziran ay\u0131nda haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 raporunda T\u00fcrkiye<\/strong> i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 5 olarak duyurdu\u011fu 2021 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisini de y\u00fczde 8,5’e y\u00fckseltti. T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisine y\u00f6nelik b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi 2022 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 4,5’ten y\u00fczde 3’e, 2023 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 4,5’ten y\u00fczde 4’e revize edildi.<\/p>\n ECA B\u00f6lgesi’nde y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda kaydedilen \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 derecedeki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc toparlanman\u0131n, b\u00f6lgedeki y\u00fckselen piyasalarda ve geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerde ekonomik faaliyeti canland\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131<\/strong> raporunda ifade edildi.<\/p>\n S\u00f6z konusu toparlanmada en belirleyici etkenlerin;\u00a0Euro\u00a0B\u00f6lgesi’ndeki faaliyetin yeniden canlanmas\u0131 ve emtia fiyatlar\u0131ndaki h\u0131zl\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fin etkisiyle ilk yar\u0131da ihracatta kaydedilen g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc toparlanma ile a\u015f\u0131lama ve destek paketleri sayesinde i\u00e7 talebin g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi oldu\u011fu aktar\u0131lan raporda, \u015funlar kaydedildi:<\/p>\n “\u00d6te yandan, b\u00f6lgede i\u00e7 talepteki toparlanmay\u0131 sekteye u\u011fratan bir etken olarak daha bula\u015f\u0131c\u0131 Covid-19 varyantlar\u0131n\u0131n k\u00fcresel ve b\u00f6lgesel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte yay\u0131lmaya devam etmesi ihracattaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131 zay\u0131flat\u0131yor olabilir. 2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda d\u0131\u015f ve i\u00e7 talebin istikrara kavu\u015fmas\u0131 ve salg\u0131n te\u015fviklerinin geri \u00e7ekilmesiyle b\u00f6lgesel b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n yava\u015flayarak y\u00fczde 3,4’e inmesi bekleniyor. \u00d6zellikle a\u015f\u0131ya eri\u015fimdeki e\u015fitsizliklerin ve a\u015f\u0131lanma konusundaki teredd\u00fctlerin \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir ba\u011flamda salg\u0131n\u0131n devam etti\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde, g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm halen olduk\u00e7a belirsiz. B\u00f6lgedeki toparlanma, beraberinde enflasyondaki h\u0131zl\u0131 bir y\u00fckseli\u015fle ger\u00e7ekle\u015firken, d\u0131\u015f finansman ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131n ani bir \u015fekilde s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131 veya siyasi belirsizlikler ve jeopolitik gerilimlerde sert bir art\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131 halinde tetiklenebilecek finansal s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lara kar\u015f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmektedir.”<\/p>\n Ekonomik Kalk\u0131nma ve \u0130\u015f Birli\u011fi \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc (OECD), T\u00fcrkiye’nin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini y\u00fczde 5,7’den y\u00fczde 8,4’e \u00e7\u0131karm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n Uluslararas\u0131 kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu Fitch Ratings, T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in bu y\u0131lki b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisini eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda yay\u0131nlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 raporla y\u00fczde 7,9’dan y\u00fczde 9,2’ye y\u00fckseltmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n Uluslararas\u0131 kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu Moody\u2019s, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi i\u00e7in 2021 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini y\u00fczde 5’ten y\u00fczde 6’ya \u00e7\u0131kartm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n JPMorgan, T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in 2021 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini y\u00fczde 6,8’den y\u00fczde 8,4’e revize etmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n Goldman Sachs T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in 2021 gayr\u0131 safi yurti\u00e7i has\u0131la (GSYH) b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisini y\u00fczde 7,5’ten y\u00fczde 9,5’e y\u00fckselmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n IMF, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisine ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerini daha \u00f6nce bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 6 ve 2022 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 3,5 olarak a\u00e7\u0131klam\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu ise (IMF) D\u00fcnya Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm Raporu’nun temmuz ay\u0131 g\u00fcncellemesinde, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin 2021’de y\u00fczde 5,8 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye beklentisini y\u00fckseltti Avrupa ve\u00a0Orta Asya\u00a0(ECA) B\u00f6lgesi’ne y\u00f6nelik haz\u0131rlanan\u00a0Ekonomik G\u00fcncelleme Raporu’nun son say\u0131s\u0131 D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan yay\u0131mland\u0131.\u00a0Buna g\u00f6re,…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":51317,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4595],"tags":[5021,2129,231],"yoast_head":"\nG\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc toparlanma ekonomik faaliyeti caland\u0131rd\u0131<\/h2>\n
Di\u011fer kurulu\u015flar da b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerini y\u00fckseltmi\u015fti<\/h3>\n